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Detecting Chaotic Behavior in Agricultural Exchange-traded Funds

Jo-Hui Chen, Batsukh Tushigmaa, Yu-Fang Huang

Abstract


This study investigates the chaos effect of agricultural exchange-traded funds (ETFs) using Brock, Dechert, and Scheinkman test, rescaled range analysis, and correlation dimension analysis. The standardized residuals from generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models are fitted into eight ETFs and examined in each case for evidence of chaotic behavior. This study also examines whether or not the ETFs are consistent with the chaos effect based on the underlying random data with trend-reinforcing series. Research results outline the financial insights for the agricultural ETF field of investment forecasting to eliminate trading emotions, while pursuing considerable profitable experience for investors.


Keywords


Agricultural ETF; Chaos Effect; Brock Dechert Scheinkman Test; Rescaled Range Analysis; Correlation Dimension Analysis

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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18686/fm.v3.866

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