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Logic Analysis of Economic Forecast

Chicheng Huang

Abstract


Since ancient times, prediction has existed in human activities in different forms, which is the instinctive reaction of human survival, and logic is the rational thinking activity of judgment, reasoning and demonstration in human brain. With the development of society, prediction has experienced a scientific process from ignorance relying on intuitive experience to logical reasoning, and formed prediction logic. In the field of economic activities, prediction logic has its unique logical characteristics. On this basis, qualitative and quantitative prediction methods are produced. The combination of the two prediction methods reflects the alternation of different logical reasoning processes, and also makes the economic prediction conclusion more reliable, so as to avoid risks and improve the decision-making level.

Keywords


Logical; Forecasting Logic; Economic Forecasting

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References


1. Ning L. On the value orientation of logical thinking. Qiushi 1996; 4. 2. Tao D. Dialectical materialism and historical naterialism. Hubei people’s Press 1986. 3. Chen H. Validity theory and application of combined forecasting method. Beijing: Science Press 2008. 4. Liu M. Time series analysis. Beijing: China Social Sciences Press 1999. 5. Hendry D F, Lei W, et al. Understanding economic forecasting. Beijing: CITIC Press 2003.




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18686/ahe.v5i5.3635

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