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Crude Oil Futures Price Prediction Based on CNN-LSTM incorporating News Headlines Feature Extraction

Jiaying Li

Abstract


In this study, a framework for predicting crude oil futures price movements is constructed based on topic modeling of news texts
and a combined model of convolutional neural networks and long and short-term memory for feature mining for sentiment analysis. Based
on the dual significance of reality and statistics, this paper takes the logarithmic return of crude oil futures settlement price as the prediction
target, and uses news headlines to identify the intrinsic influences affecting crude oil futures prices using topic modeling and sentiment anal_x005fysis. In this study, by selecting market data and text data of WTI crude oil futures from 2011 to 2022 for empirical analysis, the CNN-LSTM
prediction model is significantly better than other models.

Keywords


Topic Mining; Financial Time Series Forecasting; Sentiment Analysis; Influencing Factors

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References


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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18686/fm.v8i6.11724

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