2023 new world pattern global macroeconomic analysis and financial market industry chain dilemma and breaking ideas

Abstract

In 2022, the world economic and financial situation shifted from “low growth, low inflation, low interest rates, and high debt” to
“high inflation, high interest rates, high debt, and slow growth.”. The growth rate of several major economic countries in the world has seen
a significant decline. Inflation is constantly refreshing historical records, continuously improving the efficiency of currency use, continuously
improving the vulnerability of debt, and constantly increasing market instability and risks. Looking ahead to 2023, we believe that the main
contradiction in the world economy will shift from “inflation” to “stagnation”, with increased risks of recession, uncertainty in inflation, a
slowing pace of monetary policy tightening, and the possibility of a reversal in the trend of the stock market. In particular, the economy of the
United States may fall into a shallow or temporary recession, the European region will continue to face the challenges of the energy crisis,
the economy of Japan will fluctuate due to changes in monetary policy, the development of India and Southeast Asia will be relatively stable,
and the development of Latin America and Türkiye will be greatly affected.