Scenario Forecast of Carbon Emission Peak in China’s Heavy Pollution Industries
Abstract
method. Three scenarios of baseline, emission reduction, and high carbon are designed to predict carbon emissions with reference to policy
planning documents and analysis of historical data. It is found that the carbon peaking time of China’s heavy pollution industry is between
2026 and 2040, and the peaking amount is between 6711.6794 and 8117.3815 million tons. Among the three scenarios designed in this paper,
the emission reduction scenario is able to achieve carbon peaking by 2030.
Keywords
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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18686/fm.v9i3.12777
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