• Login
  • Register
  • Search

The Predictors of Stock Returns of Manufacturing Companies Listed on the Chinese Stock Market: An Econometric Analysis

Huanna Liu, Ratneswary Rasiah, Xin Wang

Abstract


This research examines the relationship between financial ratios such as profitability, leverage, liquidity and stock returns. A sample of 943 manufacturing corporations listed on the Chinese stock market was selected. The financial data from 2008 to 2022 was sourced
from the CSMAR database. The signalling theory was employed as the underpinning theory. The analysis involves the utilization of three
separate panel multiple regression models to examine the influence of predictors on the stock returns, encompassing pooled ordinary least
squares (pooled OLS), the fixed effects model, and the random effects model. The data analysis involved various diagnostic tests including
the Breush-Pagan test, Hausman test, Modified Wald Test, Lagram- Mutiplier Test, and the Robust test. The study found that return on assets,
return on equity, and earnings per share have a positive and significant effect on stock returns, whereas net profit margin, debt-to-equity ratio
and current ratio have a negative effect. The study outlines some policy recommendations.

Keywords


Stock Returns; Manufacturing; Signalling Theory

Full Text:

PDF

Included Database


References


[1] Harimauwan, J., & Lukman, H. (2023). The Effect of Environmental Performance, Corporate Social Responsibility, Earnings Per

Share, and Return on Assets on Stock Returns on Manufacturing Companies. International Journal of Application on Economics and Business, 1(1), 61-69.

[2] Hausman, J. A. (1978). Specification tests in econometrics. Econometrica: Journal of the econometric society, 1251-1271.

[3] Hosea, S. S., Kindangen, P., & Worang, F. G. (2020). Analyzing the Influence of Return on Asset, Debt-to-Equity Ratio, and Net

Profit Margin toward Stock Return on Telecommunication Company (Evidence from Companies Listed in BEI 2010-2019). Jurnal EMBA:

Jurnal Riset Ekonomi, Manajemen, Bisnis dan Akuntansi, 8(4).

[4] Ismail, M. S., Noorani, M. S. M., Ismail, M., Razak, F. A., & Alias, M. A. (2020). Predicting next day direction of stock price

movement using machine learning methods with persistent homology: Evidence from Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange. Applied Soft Computing, 93, 106422.

[5] Lee, C. C., Lee, C. C., & Wu, Y. (2023). The impact of COVID‐19 pandemic on hospitality stock returns in China. International

Journal of Finance & Economics, 28(2), 1787-1800.

[6] Rahmawati, S. D., & Putra, F. I. F. S. (2022). Stock return content analysis based on ratio method: Case study on infrastructure,

utilities and transportation companies listed on IDX in 2018-2020. Asian Management and Business Review, 53-62.

[7] Rasiah, V., & Ratneswary, R. (2010). Macroeconomic activity and the Malaysian stock market: Empirical evidence of dynamic relations. The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, 4(2), 59-69.

[8] Ross, S. A. (1977). The determination of financial structure: the incentive-signalling approach. The bell journal of economics, 23-

40.

[9] Sanusi, F. (2023). Profitability and Stock Return: Does Capital Structure Mediating This Association? Journal of Applied Business,

Taxation and Economics Research, 2(5), 500-511.




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18686/fm.v9i5.13373

Refbacks